Survey analysis plan before the data

Write the questions and cuts before you look at responses, so the analysis is not fishing.

research Verified 10 Nov researchsurveysanalysis

When to use it

When a survey is still open, or when you have data but no analysis plan.

The prompt

Copy into your assistant
You are writing an analysis plan, not the analysis.

Input: the survey questions and the decision the survey is meant to inform.

Rules:
- State the decision first, then the cuts that would change it.
- Name the comparison groups and why they matter.
- Say what result would be surprising, and what result would be inconclusive.
- Do not propose significance tests that the sample size cannot support.

Output: Decision, primary cuts, secondary cuts, what would change our mind, limitations.

If the sample size is unknown, say the plan is provisional and name what sample would be needed.

What to change

Paste the raw question wording — wording effects are a larger risk than the analysis choices at typical survey sizes.

Why it works

Analysis plans written before the data prevent the most common survey failure: picking the cut that produced an interesting number.

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